Guardians vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 4
Guardians vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 4

The Cleveland Guardians (-190) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+155) on Tuesday, April 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.

The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Guardians vs Athletics Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

This season, the Guardians are 4-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 2-2 ATS.

Guardians vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 73.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Owen Miller has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.30 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Will Benson has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kevin Smith has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Chad Pinder has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Stephen Vogt has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Skye Bolt has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.95 Units / 195% ROI)
  • Cristian Pache has hit the Singles Over in his last game (+1.55 Units / 155% ROI)

Athletics vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aledmys Diaz 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Jace Peterson 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Conner Capel 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Seth Brown 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Ramon Laureano 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600

Athletics vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aledmys Diaz 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Jace Peterson 0.5 -135 0.5 +105
Conner Capel 0.5 -120 0.5 -110
Seth Brown 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Ramon Laureano 0.5 -140 0.5 +105

Athletics vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aledmys Diaz 0.5 +280 0.5 -400
Jace Peterson 0.5 +360 0.5 -550
Conner Capel 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
Seth Brown 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Ramon Laureano 0.5 +275 0.5 -400

Athletics vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
JP Sears 3.5 -110 3.5 -120
Shane Bieber 6.5 +105 6.5 -135

  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 100 of their last 174 games (+24.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 89 away games (+8.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 89 away games (+6.40 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 89 away games (+4.00 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 89 away games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 51 of their last 82 games at home (+17.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 166 games (+3.20 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 36% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 3-2 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 13.7% ROI).

  • 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 64.55% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 13.39% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -23.15% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 2-2 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -8.51% ROI).

  • 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -30% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -8.51% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -2.44% ROI

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (90/268) against Shane Bieber on fastballs since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Shane Bieber located 59% of his pitches away (471/793) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

The last hit on a Shane Bieber cutter was October 2nd, 2022. Hitters are 0 for their last 21 in ABs ending on his cutter. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 56% (43/77) against Shane Bieber on elevated fastballs in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — first Percentile.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 20% (42/212) versus JP Sears in 2022 — tied for 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 94th Percentile.

33% of JP Sears’ strikeouts were looking in 2022 — tied for 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 93rd Percentile.

47% of JP Sears’ called strikeouts were elevated in 2022 — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.

  
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