The Arizona Diamondbacks (+125) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-150) on Tuesday, April 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Diamondbacks vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 2-3 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 61.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
• Alek Thomas has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
• Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Carson Kelly has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 112% ROI)
• Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 71% ROI)
• Matthew Batten has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+2.75 Units / 69% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)

Padres vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 99 of their last 167 games (+31.35 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 70 of their last 167 games (+26.50 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 167 games (+22.65 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 167 games (+1.80 Units / 1% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 88 of their last 163 games (+1.20 Units / 1% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 52 of their last 88 games at home (+12.85 Units / 12% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 90 games at home (+3.35 Units / 3% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in their last 1 games (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 3-2 against the Run Line (+0.5 Units / 7.58% ROI).

• 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 5% ROI
• 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 10.34% ROI
• 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -20.75% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 2-3 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -19.23% ROI).

• 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -11.88% ROI
• 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 14.04% ROI
• 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -21.5% ROI

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents batted just .135 (23-for-171) against Zac Gallen when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.

Zac Gallen allowed an OBP of just .252 (713 PA’s) in 2022 — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 93rd Percentile.

Zac Gallen allowed a BABIP of .186 vs left-handed batters in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .279 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .121 (47-for-388) against Zac Gallen with two-strikes in 2022 — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .156 — 97th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (11/94) against Yu Darvish on inside fastballs since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .156 (67-for-429) against Yu Darvish’s fastball since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .092 (9-for-98) against Yu Darvish’s elevated fastballs in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .224 — 100th Percentile.

  
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