The Chicago Cubs (-135) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+110) on Tuesday, April 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Cubs vs Reds Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 1-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 3-1 ATS.
Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 58.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Willson Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Under in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nelson Velazquez has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Spencer Steer has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Nick Senzel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Michael Siani has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Nico Hoerner | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -190 |
Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hayden Wesneski | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 166 games (+12.85 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 88 of their last 164 games (+7.70 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 away games (+6.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 82 away games (+5.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 82 away games (+3.75 Units / 4% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 66 games at home (+7.15 Units / 10% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 1-3 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -50.96% ROI).
- 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -50.56% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -7.61% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -3.57% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 3-1 against the Run Line (+2.95 Units / 64.84% ROI).
- 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 31.07% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -3.33% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -1.16% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 14% (12/89) versus Hayden Wesneski over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Hayden Wesneski allowed an OBP of just .135 (37 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .285 — 99th Percentile.
Hayden Wesneski walked 1 of 47 left-handed batters (2%) over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 94th Percentile.
Hayden Wesneski had an ERA of 1.56 (17.1 IP) against division opponents over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 3.98 — 91st Percenti le.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Cessa has a strike rate of just 61% (364/592) in two strike counts since the 2021 season — 9th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 66% — ninth Percentile.
Luis Cessa has struck out just 18% (58/327) of right-handed batters he faced since the 2021 season — 9th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.
The last hit on a Luis Cessa fastball was September 28th, 2022. Hitters are 0 for their last 20 in ABs ending on his fastball. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.