The Atlanta Braves (+115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-140) on Tuesday, April 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Braves vs Cardinals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 3-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 3-1 ATS.
Braves vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.10 Units / 86% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.05 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
Cardinals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cardinals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Tommy Edman | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 100 of their last 170 games (+17.04 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 92 of their last 170 games (+12.25 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 105 of their last 170 games (+10.60 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 87 away games (+8.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 77 of their last 142 games (+6.90 Units / 4% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 87 games at home (+10.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 51 of their last 87 games at home (+9.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 87 games at home (+8.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 87 games at home (+4.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 44 of their last 87 games at home (+3.25 Units / 2% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 3-1 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 46% ROI).
- 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 16.25% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -3.53% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -6.59% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 3-1 against the Run Line (+2.05 Units / 35.34% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 1.16% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 48.19% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -54.26% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Dodd is making his MLB debut today.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Steven Matz has allowed a slugging percentage of .374 (201 Total Bases / 537 ABs) with two-strikes since the 2020 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: .267 — first Percentile.
86% of Steven Matz’s called strikeouts are inside against right-handed batters since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 48 of Steven Matz’s 289 fastballs in off the plate (17%) since the 2021 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 29% — fourth Percentile.
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