Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 4
Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 4

The Toronto Blue Jays (-175) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+145) on Tuesday, April 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Blue Jays vs Royals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

This season, the Blue Jays are 1-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 1-3 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 74.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.60 Units / 180% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Hits Under in his last away game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.70 Units / 190% ROI)
  • Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Drew Waters has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)

Royals vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eaton 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Matt Duffy 0.5 +1000 0.5
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
George Springer 0.5 +325 0.5 -550

Royals vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eaton 0.5 -155 0.5 +115
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Matt Duffy 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
George Springer 1.5 +170 1.5 -225

Royals vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eaton 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Matt Duffy 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
George Springer 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Royals vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yusei Kikuchi 4.5 -125 4.5 -105
Kris Bubic 3.5 -110 3.5 -120

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 76 away games (+7.55 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 85 away games (+3.50 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 85 away games (+1.70 Units / 2% ROI)

  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 71 of their last 128 games (+11.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 84 games at home (+2.25 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 85 games at home (+0.95 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 84 of their last 166 games (+0.45 Units / 0% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 0-4 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -56.25% ROI
  • 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 47.06% ROI
  • 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -53.26% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 1-3 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -53.33% ROI).

  • 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -46.25% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -5.56% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -3.49% ROI

Yusei Kikuchi walked 49 of 355 right-handed batters (14%) in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 59% of Yusei Kikuchi’s breaking pitches (559/953) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi walked 58 of 454 batters (13%) in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi walked 16 of 107 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 0 Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a line drive rate of 37% (32/86) versus Kris Bubic on inside fastballs in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Kris Bubic has allowed an OPS of 1.391 (241 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 1.059 — second Percentile.

Kris Bubic allowed an OPS of 1.449 (118 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 1.038 — first Percentile.

  
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