The Tampa Bay Rays (-185) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+150) on Monday, April 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Rays vs Nationals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rays are 3-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 1-2 ATS.

Rays vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 71.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Francisco Mejia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
• Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Ji-Man Choi has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.75 Units / 138% ROI)
• Christian Bethancour has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.30 Units / 110% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Keibert Ruiz has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Yadiel Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
• Alex Call has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+2.80 Units / 93% ROI)
• Israel Pineda has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.10 Units / 100% ROI)
• Cesar Hernandez has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)

Nationals vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 63 away games (+9.15 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.85 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 33 away games (+3.85 Units / 8% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 67% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 43 games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 3-0 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 103.28% ROI).

• 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 45.8% ROI
• 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -37.5% ROI
• 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 23.53% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 1-2 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -32.26% ROI).

• 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -15% ROI
• 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI
• 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .268 (101-for-377) against Drew Rasmussen in non-two strike counts since the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .332 — 100th Percentile.

Drew Rasmussen allowed an OPS of just .634 (88 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 1.038 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .233 (30-for-129) against Drew Rasmussen when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 100th Percentile.

Drew Rasmussen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .279 (91 Total Bases / 326 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the 2021 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .392 — 97th Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Trevor Williams struck out just 9% (13/148) of left-handed batters he faced in 2022 — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Trevor Williams had a strike rate of just 50% (132/265) on sliders in 2022 — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

Left-handed batters hit .319 (44-for-138) against Trevor Williams in 2022 — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .227 — fifth Percentile.

  
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