The Pittsburgh Pirates (+135) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-160) on Monday, April 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.

The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Pirates vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Pirates are 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 1-2 ATS.

Pirates vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 61.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ji-wan Bae has hit the Runs Over in his last 3 games (+5.65 Units / 188% ROI)
• Rodolfo Castro has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
• Bligh Madris has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jack Suwinski has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Christian Arroyo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
• Bobby Dalbec has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.75 Units / 92% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
• Bobby Dalbec has hit the RBIs Over in his last game at home (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
• Rob Refsnyder has hit the RBIs Over in his last game at home (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)

Red Sox vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+10.40 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 36 games (+6.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 36 games (+5.35 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 84 away games (+5.15 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.55 Units / 35% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+6.10 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games at home (+5.85 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.35 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 84 games at home (+3.70 Units / 4% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 1-2 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -46% ROI).

• 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -26.67% ROI
• 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -34.33% ROI
• 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 30.77% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 1-2 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -20% ROI).

• 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 17.86% ROI
• 3-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 89.55% ROI
• 0-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters batted just .125 (7-for-56) against Johan Oviedo over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 100th Percentile.

Johan Oviedo has not allowed a walk in his last 50 PAs against a RHH dating back to September 13rd, 2022 — Brusdar Graterol has the longest active streak at 90.

Opponents batted just .150 against Johan Oviedo (3-for-20) when he was behind in the count over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .348 — 96th Percentile.

Johan Oviedo allowed a slugging percentage of just .248 (26 Total Bases / 105 ABs) over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 93rd Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a line drive rate of 29% (66/226) versus Kutter Crawford in 2022 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 31% (71/226) against Kutter Crawford in 2022 — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of 29% (46/158) versus Kutter Crawford on non-fastballs in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

  
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