The Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-140) on Monday, April 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Diamondbacks vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 2-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 2-2 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 62.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,000 First Bet Offer
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alek Thomas has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 112% ROI)
- Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- Matthew Batten has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+2.75 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Padres vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| David Dahl | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| David Dahl | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| David Dahl | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weathers | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -110 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 96 of their last 166 games (+21.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 166 games (+2.95 Units / 2% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 89 games at home (+4.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+3.25 Units / 8% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 2-2 against the Run Line (-0.5 Units / -10% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 31.25% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -8.42% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 1.2% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 2-2 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -25.29% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -4.3% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 17% (5/29) against Ryne Nelson over the last 30 days of the regular season (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson walked 6 of 44 batters (14%) over the last 30 days of the regular season (2 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 21% (17/81) against Ryne Nelson over the last 30 days of the regular season (2 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Opponents batted just .135 (5-for-37) against Ryne Nelson over the last 30 days of the regular season (2 games) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 98th Percentile.