The Minnesota Twins (-145) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+120) on Sunday, April 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Twins vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 2-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 0-2 ATS.
Twins vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gilberto Celestino has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+1.75 Units / 175% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Over in his last game (+1.75 Units / 175% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.70 Units / 190% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Drew Waters has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Royals vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nick Gordon | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Byron Buxton | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
MJ Melendez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Royals vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Byron Buxton | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
MJ Melendez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Salvador Perez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Royals vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nick Gordon | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Byron Buxton | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
MJ Melendez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Royals vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Joe Ryan | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Brad Keller | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 75 of their last 160 games (+10.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 88 of their last 160 games (+9.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 83 away games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 108 games (+15.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+6.35 Units / 25% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 2-0 against the Run Line (+2.05 Units / 102.5% ROI).
- 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 62.5% ROI
- 0-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -100% ROI
- 2-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 93.02% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 0-2 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- 0-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -100% ROI
- 2-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 93.02% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (134/461) against Joe Ryan since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 29% (115/396) against Joe Ryan in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Joe Ryan has not allowed a home run in any of the last 25.1 innings he’s appeared — Shohei Ohtani has the longest active streak at 55.0.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 28% (67/239) against Joe Ryan in non-two strike counts in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .363 (41 GB hits out of 113 GBs) against Brad Keller with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .231 — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.2 MPH on the 281 breaking pitches put in play against him since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 87.2.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .431 (25 GB hits out of 58 GBs) against Brad Keller with runners in scoring position in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .229 — first Percentile.
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