The Philadelphia Phillies (+105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-125) on Sunday, April 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in Arlington.

The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Phillies vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Phillies are 0-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 2-0 ATS.

Phillies vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 65.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.

Bet now on Phillies vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM

Get up to $1,000 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+4.05 Units / 203% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.35 Units / 89% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.50 Units / 125% ROI)
• Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Eli White has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Brad Miller has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• Eli White has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games (+2.20 Units / 107% ROI)
• Jonah Heim has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.10 Units / 210% ROI)
• Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)

Rangers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 61 away games (+24.08 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.83 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.20 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 98 of their last 181 games (+0.80 Units / 0% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 83 games at home (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.30 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 164 games (+4.25 Units / 2% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.70 Units / 114% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 0-2 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -100% ROI).

• 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -100% ROI
• 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 85.11% ROI
• 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -100% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 2-0 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 103.92% ROI).

• 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 85.42% ROI
• 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 85.11% ROI
• 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -100% ROI

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bailey Falter located 46% of his pitches inside (477/1,033) against right-handed batters in 2022 — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.

Bailey Falter had an average spin rate of 1915.4 RPM on fastballs in 2022 — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 2229.2 — second Percentile.

32% of Bailey Falter’s strikeouts were looking against right-handed batters in 2022 — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 90th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 33% (83/252) against Bailey Falter in 2022 — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters swung at 53% of Martin Perez’s pitches (404/767) with two-strikes in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a swing rate of just 44% (1,091/2,504) against Martin Perez in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 52% (297/576) against Martin Perez in 2022 — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 91st Percentile.

  
Read Full Article