The Philadelphia Phillies (+105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-125) on Sunday, April 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Phillies vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 0-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 2-0 ATS.
Phillies vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 65.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+4.05 Units / 203% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.35 Units / 89% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.50 Units / 125% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eli White has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Brad Miller has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Eli White has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games (+2.20 Units / 107% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.10 Units / 210% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Rangers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Nate Lowe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Mitch Garver | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
Rangers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Nate Lowe | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Mitch Garver | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Rangers vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Nate Lowe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Mitch Garver | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Rangers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Martin Perez | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Bailey Falter | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 61 away games (+24.08 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.83 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 98 of their last 181 games (+0.80 Units / 0% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 83 games at home (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 164 games (+4.25 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.70 Units / 114% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 0-2 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -100% ROI
- 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 85.11% ROI
- 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -100% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 2-0 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 103.92% ROI).
- 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 85.42% ROI
- 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 85.11% ROI
- 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -100% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Falter located 46% of his pitches inside (477/1,033) against right-handed batters in 2022 — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
Bailey Falter had an average spin rate of 1915.4 RPM on fastballs in 2022 — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 2229.2 — second Percentile.
32% of Bailey Falter’s strikeouts were looking against right-handed batters in 2022 — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 33% (83/252) against Bailey Falter in 2022 — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters swung at 53% of Martin Perez’s pitches (404/767) with two-strikes in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a swing rate of just 44% (1,091/2,504) against Martin Perez in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 52% (297/576) against Martin Perez in 2022 — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 91st Percentile.