The Baltimore Orioles (+120) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-145) on Sunday, April 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston.
The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Orioles vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 1-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 0-2 ATS.
Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rylan Bannon has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Rougned Odor has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Arroyo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Bobby Dalbec has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.75 Units / 92% ROI)
- Bobby Dalbec has hit the RBIs Over in his last game at home (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the RBIs Over in his last game at home (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
Red Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Reese Mcguire | 0.5 +1300 | 0.5 |
| Triston Casas | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Rafael Devers | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Reese Mcguire | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Triston Casas | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
Red Sox vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Reese Mcguire | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Triston Casas | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Irvin | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
| Tanner Houck | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 84 of their last 164 games (+24.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 100 of their last 164 games (+22.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 51 away games (+9.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 55 away games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 83 away games (+3.95 Units / 4% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+6.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games at home (+5.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 83 games at home (+2.30 Units / 2% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 2-0 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 60.61% ROI).
- 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 2.5% ROI
- 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 86.96% ROI
- 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -100% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 0-2 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -100% ROI).
- 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -8.93% ROI
- 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 86.96% ROI
- 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -100% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Irvin has a strike rate of 71% (671/940) with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% (279/1,357) against Cole Irvin in 2022 — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 10th Percentile.
Cole Irvin had a first-pitch strike rate of 67% (495/738) in 2022 — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 93rd Percentile.
55% of Cole Irvin’s called strikeouts were inside in 2022 — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 97th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Houck had a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (127/244) in 2022 — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
8 of Tanner Houck’s 29 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) were backdoor in 2022 — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 11% — 96th Percentile.
Tanner Houck walked 14 of 101 left-handed batters (14%) in 2022 — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — fifth Percentile.