The Cleveland Guardians (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-140) on Saturday, April 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Guardians vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
Guardians vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Guardians vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,000 First Bet Offer
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.30 Units / 78% ROI)
- Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.25 Units / 162% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.00 Units / 150% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Taylor Trammell has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Mariners vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Tommy La Stella | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
Kolten Wong | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Jarred Kelenic | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Mariners vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Tommy La Stella | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Kolten Wong | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Jarred Kelenic | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
Mariners vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Tommy La Stella | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
Kolten Wong | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
RBis will Jarred Kelenic | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Mariners vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Logan Gilbert | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Aaron Civale | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 96 of their last 170 games (+20.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 away games (+17.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 41 away games (+15.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 85 away games (+6.90 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 away games (+3.98 Units / 9% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games at home (+11.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 83 games at home (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 87 games (+4.85 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 93 of their last 168 games (+4.85 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.40 Units / 41% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 56% of Aaron Civale’s pitches (593/1,065) with two-strikes since the 2021 season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 61% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .126 (12 GB hits out of 95 GBs) against Aaron Civale with the shift since the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .219 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (18/51) versus Aaron Civale on inside fastballs in 2022 — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (31/100) against Aaron Civale on inside fastballs since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .476 (39-for-82) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — second Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 28% (153/537) versus Logan Gilbert in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 53 of Logan Gilbert’s 287 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.