Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 1
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 1

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+200) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-250) on Saturday, April 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake Hager has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
  • Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.85 Units / 195% ROI)
  • Hanser Alberto has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Max Muncy has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Evan Longoria 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Will Smith 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Christian Walker 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Evan Longoria 0.5 -140 0.5 +105
Will Smith 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Christian Walker 0.5 -160 0.5 +125

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Evan Longoria 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Will Smith 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Christian Walker 0.5 +240 0.5 -350

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Madison Bumgarner 4.5 +105 4.5 -135
Clayton Kershaw 6.5 +120 6.5 -155

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 94 of their last 163 games (+20.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 99 of their last 167 games (+25.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 90 of their last 162 games (+17.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 167 games (+6.55 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.45 Units / 23% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

34 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in 2022 — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

34 of Madison Bumgarner’s 73 breaking pitch strikeouts (47%) were backdoor in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

65 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the 2021 season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

65 of Madison Bumgarner’s 156 breaking pitch strikeouts (42%) have been backdoor since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 39% (121/312) against Clayton Kershaw when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown breaking pitches 64% of the time (450/706) when behind in the count since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 64% of the time (448/706) when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total SL; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

  
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