The Minnesota Twins (-165) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+140) on Saturday, April 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Twins vs Royals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

Twins vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 62.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Gary Sanchez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 60% ROI)
• Gilberto Celestino has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 56% ROI)
• Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+1.75 Units / 175% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.70 Units / 190% ROI)
• Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
• Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
• Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• Drew Waters has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)

Royals vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 75 of their last 160 games (+10.50 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 88 of their last 160 games (+9.90 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 82 away games (+1.65 Units / 2% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 108 games (+15.50 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+6.35 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 82 games at home (+0.35 Units / 0% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

• 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

• 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters swung at 51% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (259/509) with two-strikes in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.

Sonny Gray has a strike rate of just 52% (408/791) on sliders since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 51% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (590/1,159) with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.

Sonny Gray has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (760/1,858) vs left-handed batters since the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jordan Lyles allowed a slugging percentage of .417 (151 Total Bases / 362 ABs) with two-strikes in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — second Percentile.

Opponents batted .243 (88-for-362) against Jordan Lyles with two-strikes in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .156 — second Percentile.

Jordan Lyles had a strike rate of just 60% (540/893) in two strike counts in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.

  
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