The Philadelphia Phillies (+110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-130) on Thursday, March 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+170).
The Phillies vs Rangers Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 10-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 9-13 ATS.
Phillies vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 64.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Rangers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Rangers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +145 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -110 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
Rangers vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
Rangers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -160 |
| Jacob Degrom | 8.5 +120 | 8.5 -175 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 61 away games (+24.08 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 129 games (+16.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 61 away games (+8.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.83 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 128 games (+7.70 Units / 5% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 151 games (+9.55 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.70 Units / 114% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 9-15 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -25.25% ROI).
- 10-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -14.54% ROI
- 16-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.05 Units / 26.65% ROI
- 8-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.6 Units / -36.23% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 9-13 against the Run Line (-3.85 Units / -14.34% ROI).
- 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -8.29% ROI
- 10-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -9.07% ROI
- 11-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.15 Units / 0.62% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola had a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (582/836) last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola walked 30 of 832 batters (4%) last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 97th Percentile.
Aaron Nola walked 7 of 299 batters (2%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola struck out 52 batters on three pitches last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .152 (85-for-561) against Jacob deGrom since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has allowed an OBP of just .183 (586 PA’s) since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .303 — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom had a strikeout rate of 42% (110/264) last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.