The Atlanta Braves () visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates () on Wednesday, August 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Braves vs Pirates Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 75-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 61-58 ATS.
Braves vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Pirates Prediction for Today's Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday's matchup with 60.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We've highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 65 of his last 113 games (+17.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 37 away games (+16.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 54 of his last 75 games (+15.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Over in his last 8 away games (+11.45 Units / 143% ROI)
- Vaughn Grissom has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.40 Units / 93% ROI)
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ke'Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 39 games at home (+16.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ke'Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 45 games at home (+15.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 40 games at home (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Rodolfo Castro has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 42 games at home (+10.95 Units / 16% ROI)
Pirates vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ben Gamel | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Kevin Newman | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
Oneil Cruz | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Pirates vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ben Gamel | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Kevin Newman | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
Oneil Cruz | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Pirates vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ben Gamel | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Kevin Newman | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Oneil Cruz | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Pirates vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Mitch Keller | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +110 |
Kyle Wright | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 99 games (+21.22 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 away games (+9.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 away games (+7.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 33 away games (+7.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 58 away games (+6.25 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+6.60 Units / 20% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 64-58 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -0.36% ROI).
- 75-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.35 Units / 4.71% ROI
- 60-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 0.26% ROI
- 54-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.95 Units / -8.94% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 61-58 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -3.3% ROI).
- 46-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -5.11% ROI
- 52-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.65 Units / -9.68% ROI
- 59-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 1.29% ROI
Kyle Wright: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (114/188) against Kyle Wright this season – 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% – 98th Percentile.
Kyle Wright has induced opposing hitters to ground into 21 double plays in 113 opportunities (19%) this season – 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% – 98th Percentile.
Kyle Wright has allowed an OPS of just .582 (267 PA's) against right-handed batters this season – 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 – 86th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 30% (106/358) against Kyle Wright this season – 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% – 83rd Percentile.
Mitch Keller: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .421 (221 PA's) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season – highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: .299 – 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .419 (175-for-418) against Mitch Keller in non-two strike counts since the start of last season – highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: .331 – 0 Percentile.
Mitch Keller has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (527/948) since the start of last season – 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 62% – third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .342 (51-for-149) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season – highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: .260 – 0 Percentile.