The Seattle Mariners (-120) visit Hohokam Stadium to take on the Oakland Athletics (+100) on Wednesday, March 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Mesa.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Mariners vs Athletics Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Mariners are 6-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 6-5 ATS.
Mariners vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mariners vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 62.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 4 away games (+4.40 Units / 84% ROI)
- Curt Casali has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.20 Units / 81% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kevin Smith has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Chad Pinder has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Stephen Vogt has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.90 Units / 45% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 57 away games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 55 away games (+14.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 39 away games (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 63 away games (+11.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 64 away games (+9.65 Units / 13% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+13.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 44 games at home (+11.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games at home (+9.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games at home (+8.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 5-8 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -27.62% ROI).
- 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -14.33% ROI
- 3-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -9 Units / -58.25% ROI
- 11-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.8 Units / 50.65% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 6-5 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -1.65% ROI).
- 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -17.9% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -10.88% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 5.31% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marco Gonzales had a strikeout rate of just 13% (103/783) last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 16% (83/532) against Marco Gonzales last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (580/1,369) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has located his fastball inside 51% of the time (1,138/2,243) since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 97th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha allowed a slugging percentage of .738 (45 Total Bases / 61 ABs) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 — first Percentile.
Michael Wacha threw his changeup 48% of the time (287/598) with two-strikes last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Wacha recorded 34 of his 54 strikeouts (63%) against right-handed batters with his changeup last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.