The Boston Red Sox (+145) visit TD Ballpark to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-175) on Monday, March 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:07pm EDT in Dunedin.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Red Sox vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Red Sox are 9-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 7-4 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 59.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yolmer Sanchez has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jaylin Davis has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+3.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jaylin Davis has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+2.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+1.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jaylin Davis has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 80 games (+9.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 133 games (+7.30 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+5.15 Units / 12% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 123 games (+13.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games at home (+12.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+7.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 games (+7.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 10-4 against the Run Line (+7.05 Units / 43.12% ROI).
- 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.75 Units / 43.18% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -11.04% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 2.92% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 7-4 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 31.87% ROI).
- 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 31.63% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -5.69% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -3.78% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Murphy is making his MLB debut today.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters batted just .159 (51-for-321) against Alek Manoah last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .158 (82-for-520) against Alek Manoah since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .237 (22-for-93) against Alek Manoah on the first pitch of at-bats last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — 100th Percentile.