The Texas Rangers (+110) visit Peoria Sports Complex to take on the Seattle Mariners (-130) on Sunday, March 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Peoria.

The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Rangers vs Mariners Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Rangers are 5-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 5-6 ATS.

Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s Spring Training matchup with 62.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Andy Ibanez has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+1.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+0.60 Units / 12% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 54% ROI)
• Ty France has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+2.60 Units / 43% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.40 Units / 21% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• Curt Casali has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 68 of their last 123 games (+18.15 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 76 away games (+11.10 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 62 away games (+8.68 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.65 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.65 Units / 35% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 64 games at home (+18.45 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 99 games (+14.05 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 64 games (+12.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games at home (+11.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 99 games (+6.25 Units / 5% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 5-6 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -9.47% ROI).

• 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -12.31% ROI
• 7-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 29.1% ROI
• 3-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -37.45% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 5-6 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -14.94% ROI).

• 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -16.37% ROI
• 2-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.9 Units / -67.17% ROI
• 10-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.9 Units / 59.85% ROI

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Andrew Heaney had a strikeout rate of 35% (110/310) last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of 37% (236/639) against Andrew Heaney last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .381 (24-for-63) against Andrew Heaney in late innings since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .239 — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 36% (185/517) against Andrew Heaney last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Castillo had a strikeout rate of 48% (62/130) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (281/474) against Luis Castillo since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (210/362) against Luis Castillo in two-strike counts since the start of the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.

  
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