The Washington Nationals (+140) visit Roger Dean Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-165) on Sunday, March 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Jupiter.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Nationals vs Cardinals Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Nationals are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 7-5 ATS.
Nationals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s Spring Training matchup with 70.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- No trends found
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 81 away games (+12.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 52 away games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 27 away games (+7.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 95 games (+7.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 27 away games (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 67 games at home (+13.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+13.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games at home (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+6.85 Units / 19% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 6-5 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.7% ROI).
- 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -4.09% ROI
- 3-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -48.55% ROI
- 8-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 37.86% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 7-5 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 21.86% ROI).
- 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 6.47% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -27.55% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 20.15% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 30% (59/196) versus MacKenzie Gore last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore walked 37 of 309 batters (12%) last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 24% (152/633) against MacKenzie Gore last season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — fourth Percentile.
49% of MacKenzie Gore’s strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 93rd Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .202 (91-for-451) against Steven Matz with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .165 — 10th Percentile.
Steven Matz has allowed a slugging percentage of .374 (201 Total Bases / 537 ABs) with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: .266 — first Percentile.
42% of Steven Matz’s non-fastball strikeouts are located inside since the start of the 2021 season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 90th Percentile.