The Oakland Athletics (+155) visit Goodyear Ballpark to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-190) on Saturday, March 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Goodyear.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Athletics vs Guardians Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Athletics are 3-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 3-6 ATS.
Athletics vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Athletics vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s Spring Training matchup with 64.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+13.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 79 away games (+9.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 70 away games (+8.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 81 games (+8.45 Units / 10% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 89 of their last 150 games (+26.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 63 games (+9.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 150 games (+8.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 37 of their last 73 games at home (+6.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 59 games at home (+5.96 Units / 9% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 4-4 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -10.62% ROI).
- 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -12.5% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -2.29% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -2.82% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 3-6 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -34.8% ROI).
- 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -32.58% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -14.65% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 6.57% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ken Waldichuk has pitched 12.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — J.P. Feyereisen has the longest active streak at 24.1.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 34% (29/86) against Ken Waldichuk over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — ninth Percentile.
Ken Waldichuk has not allowed a home run in any of the last 15.2 innings he’s appeared — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 67.1.
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 30% (19/64) against Ken Waldichuk over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Civale has allowed a slugging percentage of .592 (74 Total Bases / 125 ABs) on elevated fastballs since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .376 — first Percentile.
Aaron Civale has a strike rate of just 56% (749/1,340) when ahead in the count since the start of the 2021 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 62% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (31/100) against Aaron Civale on inside fastballs since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.