The St. Louis Cardinals (-165) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+140) on Monday, August 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Cardinals vs Cubs Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 66-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 60-58 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today's Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday's matchup with 60.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We've highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+15.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+12.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+12.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 50 of his last 65 games (+21.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+19.35 Units / 76% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 37 games at home (+16.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 22 games (+16.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+14.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Cubs vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Christopher Morel | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Ian Happ | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
Nelson Velazquez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Nick Madrigal | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Christopher Morel | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
Franmil Reyes | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
Ian Happ | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
Nelson Velazquez | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 -105 |
Nick Madrigal | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Christopher Morel | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
Ian Happ | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Nelson Velazquez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Nick Madrigal | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Drew Smyly | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games (+11.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 48 away games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.85 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+11.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 60% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 66-51 against the Run Line (+12.85 Units / 8.77% ROI).
- 66-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.45 Units / 5.46% ROI
- 54-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -8.96% ROI
- 59-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.08% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 60-58 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -4.18% ROI).
- 51-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.05 Units / -10.39% ROI
- 51-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.6 Units / -11.26% ROI
- 60-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 3.18% ROI
Jordan Montgomery: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (73/198) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season – 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% – 94th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has attempted to pick off a runner at second base 8 timesthis season – most among qualified SPs in MLB – 100th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has walked 26 of 532 batters (5%) this season – 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% – 85th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has a strike rate of just 61% (372/607) in two strike counts this season – tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% – ninth Percentile.
Todd Smyly: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (141/275) with runners in scoring position this season – 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total CB; League Avg: 17% – 99th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (1,462/3,461) since the start of last season – 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total CB; League Avg: 16% – 99th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has allowed a slugging percentage of .573 (51 Total Bases / 89 ABs) versus the bottom of the order this season – 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .355 – first Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (565/1,322) this season – 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total CB; League Avg: 17% – 99th Percentile.