The Phoenix Suns will travel to face the Dallas Mavericks in a Western Conference showdown on Sunday. Read on for our Suns vs. Mavericks NBA picks based on the best NBA odds.
Two teams that made the biggest moves at the deadline are set to face off on Sunday. The Dallas Mavericks will host the Phoenix Suns in a matchup between two former teammates in Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant. Which former Brooklyn Net will have bragging rights after this Western Conference showdown?
Here is our best Suns vs. Mavericks NBA pick (odds via PointsBet; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Suns vs. Mavericks pick
I'm betting on Durant and the Suns to prevail, despite being on the road. Center Deandre Ayton is listed as questionable with a knee injury, but he said postgame on Friday that he expects to play. Ayton's availability is crucial against a Dallas team that is vulnerable inside.
Dallas is giving up more than 50 points in the paint per game so far this season, according to NBA.com. The Mavericks also rank last as an offense via production in the paint, as they tend to live and die by the 3-ball.
Ayton can expose Dallas' interior presence if he's able to go, as he is averaging 18.5 points and 10.1 rebounds per contest. The addition of Durant hasn't really changed Ayton's role, as the two have played together for 38 minutes over two games and posted a net rating of +36.6 when they are on the court together.
Even if Ayton can't go, this game is likely personal for Durant after Irving forced his way out of Brooklyn. Durant has scored 43 points in his two games with the Suns, but has yet to take more than 15 shots. Don't be surprised if we get a more aggressive version of Durant in this one, as his scoring prop of 25.5 would suggest.
The Suns are 2-0 in games Durant has played, and we expect them to remain undefeated after we cash this three-star pick.
Suns vs. Mavericks best odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | PointsBet |
| Suns ML | Suns ML | Suns ML | Suns ML | Suns ML |
| -110 | -108 | -110 | -110 | -105 |
When it comes to finding the best price on the Suns' moneyline, it really just comes down to a few cents. PointsBet is offering a -105 option, which is three cents better than any other shop.
Suns vs. Mavericks odds
Check out our NBA Finals odds and NBA MVP odds.
Suns vs. Mavericks odds analysis
The spread hasn't really budged since the Mavericks opened as a 1-point favorite. Whether you take the spread or moneyline, this game is essentially being set as a toss-up. We are favoring a Suns team that is 35-29 at this point in the season against a Mavericks squad (33-31) that is just two games above .500.
While the spread hasn't moved, the total started at 231 and is now up to 233 at most of our top-rated sportsbooks. You can get a 232.5 at Dra ftKings Sportsbook for the best price on the Over.
Suns vs. Mavericks game info
- Date: Sunday, March 5, 1 p.m. ET
- TV: ABC
- Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Suns-Mavericks pick made 3/5/2023 at 10 a.m. ET.
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