Arkansas vs. Alabama Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 2-25-2023
Arkansas vs. Alabama Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 2-25-2023

The #2 Alabama Crimson Tide (24-4, 16-11-1 ATS, 14-1 SEC) went into Fayetteville in January and beat the then-ranked Arkansas Razorbacks (19-9, 14-13-1 ATS, 8-7 SEC) by 15 points. It was the third time in the last four meetings that the Crimson Tide proved too much for the Razorbacks. Arkansas has big hopes for March and a chance at payback this weekend. At 2:00 p.m. EST on Saturday, we'll see if Arkansas can leave Coleman Coliseum with a win.

Arkansas has won their last two and if they want to firmly secure an at-large bid, they'll need to keep it up. KenPom's 15th-rated team is only projected to earn a nine-seed right now, and that's an improvement from earlier in the week. However, the road hasn't been kind to them this season, as they're only 2-6 away from home.

Their latest win was by 32 over the Georgia Bulldogs. The Razorbacks led by 20 or more for the entire second half, barring 20 seconds. They shot 63.8% from the floor and only committed five turnovers in the victory. Freshman Nick Smith Jr.'s career-high 26 points led the way that night.

Arkansas has an elite shooting percentage, hitting 48.6% of their shots which is 15th in the nation. Coupled with a high tempo, it leads to 75.0 points per game, trailing only Bama and Missouri in the SEC. Three-pointers really hold them back, as they only hit 31.5%, ranking 318th nationally.

Despite their fast pace, Arkansas holds opponents to 65.5 points per game. They only allow foes to hit 40.9% of their shots, the 42nd-best mark in the country. On threes, opposing teams shoot 32.0%. The Razorbacks are 12th in adjusted defensive efficiency.

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