The Milwaukee Brewers (-125) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+105) on Saturday, August 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Brewers vs Cubs Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 62-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 60-58 ATS.
Brewers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 74.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Cubs vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Christopher Morel | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
Ian Happ | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Nick Madrigal | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Cubs vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Christopher Morel | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
Franmil Reyes | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Ian Happ | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Nick Madrigal | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
Nico Hoerner | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
Cubs vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Christopher Morel | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
Ian Happ | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
Nick Madrigal | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Marcus Stroman | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
Freddy Peralta | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 47-70 against the Run Line (-29.2 Units / -20.56% ROI).
- 62-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.4 Units / -10.99% ROI
- 58-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.12% ROI
- 53-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.85 Units / -7.64% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 60-58 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -4.18% ROI).
- 51-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.05 Units / -10.39% ROI
- 51-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.6 Units / -11.26% ROI
- 60-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 3.18% ROI
Freddy Peralta: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has allowed a slugging percentage of just .103 (7 Total Bases / 68 ABs) on low fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .425 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .178 (125-for-702) against Freddy Peralta since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has allowed a slugging percentage of just .237 (109 Total Bases / 460 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .386 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .138 (26-for-188) against Freddy Peralta when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (31/48) against Marcus Stroman this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has walked 10 of 207 batters (5%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (18/51) against Marcus Stroman with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (717/1,958) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.