:format(webp)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/72004502/usa_today_19739526.0.jpg "NBA picks: Nuggets-Cavaliers prediction, odds, over/under, spread, injury report")
NBA Action returns Thursday night with the Denver Nuggets (41-18) traveling to face the Cleveland Cavaliers (38-23) at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET and will mark the second and final time these two teams face each other. Denver picked up a 121-108 win back in early January.
On the injury report for the Nuggets, Jamal Murray is listed as questionable with right knee inflammation, while the recently acquired Reggie Jackson is also listed as questionable. Aaron Gordon has been ruled out as he continues to deal with a left rib contusion. For the Cavaliers, Cedi Osman is probable to play, while Ricky Rubio remains out with a left knee injury.
Cleveland sits as 2.5-point home favorites at DraftKings Sportsbook with the point total sitting at 223. The Cavaliers are -145 on the moneyline while the Nuggets are +125.
Nuggets vs. Cavaliers, 7 p.m. ET
Pick ATS: Cavaliers -2.5
Both these teams have been excellent against the spread heading into the All-Star break, with Denver going 7-3 in their last 10 games and Cleveland mirroring their record. Yet while the Cavaliers are 20-10-1 versus the spread at home, the Nuggets are just 12-16 on the road. Additionally, Denver is 14-14 straight up on the road, illustrating how far from efficient they are away from home court. Coupled with the absence of Gordon, I like Cleveland successfully defending their home court in this head-to-head.
Over/Under: Under 223
Cleveland has the best scoring defense in the league, limiting their opponents to 106.1 PPG, with that number dropping even lower with a 104.8 PPG average at home. With Gordon ruled out, it should result in the Nuggets packing less of a scoring punch, and if Murray is held out for precautionary reasons, I don't have too much faith in Nikole Jokic and Michael Porter Jr. being able to propel the point total to hit the over. Contrary to the last time these two met, I think we're in for a lower-scoring affair and a point total that finishes under.