Fresno State vs. Air Force Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 2-21-2023
Fresno State vs. Air Force Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 2-21-2023

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Will they hit 100 total points this time? That's one of many questions on people's minds as the Fresno State Bulldogs (9-17, 9-16-0 ATS, 5-10 MWC) and Air Force Falcons (14-14, 17-11-0 ATS, 5-10 MWC) are scheduled to play each other yet again. The first game was on January 14, and Air Force left Fresno, California with a 51-48 victory. It brought an end to Fresno State's three-game winning streak over Air Force as the road team has now won the last four games between these schools. We'll see if that streak will reach five games in Clune Arena on Tuesday night when these teams play at 9:00 p.m. EST.

Fresno State has lost three straight, and the last two were one-possession losses at home. The latest was a three-point defeat against Colorado State, a team below them in the standings. The Bulldogs were up by seven with 1:32 remaining but were outscored 12-2 in that time. The Bulldogs shot 39.7% for the game, including 21.7% from three on 23 attempts. Leo Colimerio didn't have any issues shooting, hitting eight of 11 for a team-high 19 points. 

Offense has been a major issue for Fresno State this season, as they're only putting up 61.2 points per game. During the losing streak, that number is 55.3 per game. While a slow tempo plays a part in that, they also shoot horribly. At 29.0% from three and 42.0% overall, they have the worst effi ciency in the Mountain West. Those percentages are also both worse than 310th nationally. 

On defense, they allow the second-fewest per game in the conference, 64.4 per game, but opponents shoot well against them from deep. On threes, foes shoot 36.8%, the second-worst mark in the MWC. Overall, enemies are hitting 43.1% of their shots against the Bulldogs. 

The Bulldogs are the second-worst team in the Mountain West according to KenPom, ranking 153rd in the nation. They have a 3-8 record on the road this season. Barring a miraculous run, you won't be seeing Fresno State in the Big Dance.

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