The New York Mets (+100) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-120) on Friday, August 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Mets vs Phillies Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mets are 76-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 61-56 ATS.
Mets vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mets vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s matchup with 71.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 37 games (+18.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 36 of his last 58 away games (+13.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+11.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+11.35 Units / 37% ROI)
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nick Castellanos has hit the RBIs Under in 32 of his last 41 games at home (+15.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 29 games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+11.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+11.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+10.60 Units / 26% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 69 of their last 119 games (+15.42 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 85 games (+6.85 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+4.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 67 games (+18.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 64 of their last 112 games (+13.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 66 games (+11.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 52 games (+10.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.95 Units / 35% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 65-53 against the Run Line (+14.6 Units / 10.2% ROI).
- 76-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.3 Units / 11.29% ROI
- 60-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 2.71% ROI
- 51-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.45 Units / -11.19% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 61-56 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 2.93% ROI).
- 65-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 3.09% ROI
- 56-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -3.3% ROI
- 55-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -4.86% ROI
Christopher Bassitt: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (64/374) against Chris Bassitt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (50/292) against Chris Bassitt on pitches in the strike zone this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an OPS of just .560 (311 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .685 — 93rd Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed a slugging percentage of just .302 (88 Total Bases / 291 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .391 — 95th Percentile.
Aaron Nola: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola’s K:BB ratio is 12.6 (88/7) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.8 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .237 (18-for-76) against Aaron Nola on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — 98th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has allowed a slugging percentage of just .168 (19 Total Bases / 113 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .362 — 96th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has a strikeout rate of 28% (165 SO in 591 PAs) this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 87th Percentile.