The Boston Red Sox (-110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-110) on Friday, August 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Red Sox vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Red Sox are 58-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 77-41 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s matchup with 72.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+13.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+12.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.85 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 48 games at home (+15.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+14.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 32 games at home (+12.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 46 games at home (+12.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 48 games at home (+11.85 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+7.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 99 games (+7.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 98 games (+29.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 98 games (+27.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 56 games (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 80 games (+8.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+8.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 60-57 against the Run Line (+2.85 Units / 1.97% ROI).
- 58-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -5.12% ROI
- 51-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.8 Units / -7.61% ROI
- 56-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 0.35% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 77-41 against the Run Line (+27.9 Units / 17.88% ROI).
- 61-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +23.5 Units / 18.88% ROI
- 55-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.35 Units / -5.7% ROI
- 58-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -1.94% ROI
Kutter Crawford: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .062 (2-for-32) against Kutter Crawford with two-strikes this month (3 games) — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .170 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (6/28) against Kutter Crawford — 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 21% (3/14) against Kutter Crawford — 5th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (49/178) against Kutter Crawford this season — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 24% — seventh Percentile.
Jordan Lyles: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .234 (64-for-274) against Jordan Lyles with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — third Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .405 (111 Total Bases / 274 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .252 — first Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of .705 (303 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .477 — third Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has a strike rate of just 60% (409/684) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — third Percentile.