The Chicago Cubs (+135) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-160) on Thursday, August 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Cubs vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 49-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 76-41 ATS.
Cubs vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s matchup with 67.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Orioles vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Orioles vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -300 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Cedric Mullins | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Orioles vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -160 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Orioles vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spenser Watkins | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +115 |
| Adrian Sampson | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 59-57 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -4.25% ROI).
- 49-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.25 Units / -12.23% ROI
- 50-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.6 Units / -11.45% ROI
- 59-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 3.24% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 76-41 against the Run Line (+26.9 Units / 17.41% ROI).
- 61-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +24.5 Units / 19.85% ROI
- 55-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -4.97% ROI
- 57-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -2.72% ROI
Adrian Sampson: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Sampson has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (15 Total Bases / 25 ABs) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .406 — 12th Percentile.
Adrian Sampson has allowed a slugging percentage of .591 (13 Total Bases / 22 ABs) at home this month (1 games) — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .386 — 12th Percentile.
Spenser Watkins: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
22 of Spenser Watkins’ 46 strikeouts (48%) have come on cutters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (41/133) against Spenser Watkins this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .340 (35-for-103) against Spenser Watkins versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .256 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 21% (6/29) against Spenser Watkins — 9th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — 94th Percentile.