The Toronto Blue Jays (+120) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-145) on Thursday, August 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Blue Jays vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 62-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 52-66 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 -300 | 0.5 +195 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -140 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 49-67 against the Run Line (-22.6 Units / -16.19% ROI).
- 62-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.8 Units / -12.14% ROI
- 59-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -2.28% ROI
- 56-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.85 Units / -7.66% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 52-66 against the Run Line (-15.95 Units / -11.67% ROI).
- 73-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -0.25% ROI
- 56-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.05 Units / -5.41% ROI
- 57-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -3.5% ROI
José Berríos: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has an ERA of 7.50 (54.0 IP) on the road this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.72 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (29/162) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .492 (241 Total Bases / 490 ABs) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (35/94) against Jose Berrios when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Francelis Montas: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Frankie Montas has thrown fastballs 68% of the time (603/888) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 53% — 94th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 30% (45/152) against Frankie Montas this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 31% (148/471) against Frankie Montas this season — 15th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 87th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 29% (450/1,566) against Frankie Montas in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.