The Washington Nationals (+290) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-375) on Thursday, August 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Nationals vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 39-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 56-64 ATS.
Nationals vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Thursday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Padres vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jorge Alfaro | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Padres vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jorge Alfaro | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Padres vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -140 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jorge Alfaro | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
Padres vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yu Darvish | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -135 |
| Anibal Sanchez | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 50-69 against the Run Line (-27.6 Units / -18.94% ROI).
- 39-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -23 Units / -18.65% ROI
- 59-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 0.61% ROI
- 53-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -8.64% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 56-64 against the Run Line (-10.65 Units / -7.18% ROI).
- 66-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -3.02% ROI
- 56-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -7.9% ROI
- 61-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -0.86% ROI
Aníbal Sánchez: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anibal Sanchez has allowed a slugging percentage of .774 (24 Total Bases / 31 ABs) against right-handed batters this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 — second Percentile.
Anibal Sanchez has allowed an OPS of 1.234 (37 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .683 — second Percentile.
Anibal Sanchez has a strikeout rate of just 24% (9 SO in 38 PAs) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Anibal Sanchez has allowed an OPS of .991 (69 PA’s) this month (3 games) — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .679 — third Percentile.
Yu Darvish: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yu Darvish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .062 (4 Total Bases / 65 ABs) on fastballs away this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .359 — 100th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has a strikeout rate of 53% (8 SO in 15 PAs) with runners in scoring position this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .160 (57-for-356) against Yu Darvish’s fastball since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .046 (3-for-65) against Yu Darvish on fastballs away this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 100th Percentile.