The New York Mets (-125) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (+105) on Thursday, August 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Mets vs Braves Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mets are 76-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 62-57 ATS.

Mets vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 36 games (+17.40 Units / 23% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 36 of his last 57 away games (+14.70 Units / 23% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 46 away games (+12.50 Units / 19% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 37 away games (+11.45 Units / 26% ROI)
• Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.40 Units / 28% ROI)

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 62 of his last 107 games (+17.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 39 games at home (+15.20 Units / 23% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+14.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 61 of his last 105 games (+12.95 Units / 8% ROI)
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 34 games at home (+12.40 Units / 20% ROI)

Braves vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Mets Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 118 games (+20.30 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 69 of their last 118 games (+16.42 Units / 12% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 118 games (+14.60 Units / 10% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 80 games (+8.50 Units / 10% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+5.95 Units / 14% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Braves: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 93 games (+19.17 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 69 games (+19.05 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+8.95 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+7.35 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.80 Units / 60% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 65-53 against the Run Line (+14.6 Units / 10.2% ROI).

• 76-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.3 Units / 11.29% ROI
• 60-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 2.71% ROI
• 51-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.45 Units / -11.19% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 62-57 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -1.29% ROI).

• 72-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 3.3% ROI
• 60-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 2.09% ROI
• 52-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.95 Units / -10.68% ROI

Jacob deGrom: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 45% (57/127) against Jacob deGrom this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 79% (22 SO in 28 PAs) with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 50% (28 SO in 56 PAs) this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Jacob deGrom has not allowed a runner to reach base (28 PA’s) with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.

Max Fried: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a chase percentage of 51% (171/338) against Max Fried with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% (203/400) against Max Fried this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 88th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% (74/134) against Max Fried in two-strike counts this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 89th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.6 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (147 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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