Boise State vs. San Diego State Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 2-3-2023
Boise State vs. San Diego State Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 2-3-2023

The Boise State Broncos and San Diego State Aztecs will play Friday at Viejas Arena. Tip-off from San Diego, CA, is at 6:00 p.m. PT. The Aztecs are seven-point spread favorites and the game total is 134 points.

Boise State, 18-5 SU and 14-7-1 ATS, beat Air Force 59-52 in its last game. The Broncos are 4-1 in their past five and tied for first place in the Mountain West with the Aztecs. San Diego State, 17-5 SU and 8-12-1 ATS, lost by nine at Nevada on Tuesday. The Aztecs are 4-1 in their past five and 8-2 in conference play.

Boise State beat San Diego State three times last season, snapping a six-game SDSU winning streak in the series. The Aztecs are 17-10 all-time versus the Broncos.

Boise State's Marcus Shaver Jr. and Naje Smith are questionable to play Friday.

Boise State pulled even with San Diego State on Tuesday for first place in the MWC, setting up a pivotal matchup between the teams on Friday. The Broncos and Aztecs will play again on Feb. 28 in Boise, as well.

Boise State won on the road at Air Force Tuesday, beating the Falcons by seven. BSU led 34-21 at halftime and did enough to hold off Air Force in the second half, shooting 43.1 percent from the field. The Falcons were off the mark from long range, shooting 4-for-24 from three (16.7%). Boise guard Max Rice led all scorers with 22 points on 7-of-14 shooting, including 4-for-8 from behind the arc.

The Broncos average 72.4 points (165th) on 45.9 percent shooting (109th), including 37.4 percent from three (42nd). They convert 73.3 percent of their free-throw attempts (112th) and average 34.2 rebounds (68th) with a +5.2 rebounding margin. Boise State is 90th in the NCAA in schedule-adjusted offensive efficiency, per KenPom.

Sophomore guard Tyson Degenhart paces BSU, averaging 14.4 points and 5.4 rebounds per game. Other Broncos to watch are senior guard Marcus Shaver Jr. (13.2 PPG, 6.3 RPG, and 4.2 APG), junior guard Chibuzo Agbo (11.7 PPG and 4.8 RPG), and senior forward Naje Smith (9.7 PPG and 5.3 RPG).

Boise State gives up 60.7 points per game (12th) on 39.8 percent shooting (24th), including 27.5 percent from three (5th). It's 9th in adjusted defensive efficiency, 201st in adjusted tempo, and 183rd in assist-per-turnover ratio.

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