The Chicago Cubs (-155) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+125) on Wednesday, August 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Cubs vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 48-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 49-69 ATS.
Cubs vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 59.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Nationals vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Nationals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Luke Voit | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
Nationals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Luke Voit | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Nationals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Luke Voit | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
Nationals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Smyly | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 59-56 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -3.6% ROI).
- 48-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.25 Units / -13.12% ROI
- 50-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.55 Units / -10.72% ROI
- 58-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 2.48% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 49-69 against the Run Line (-28.6 Units / -19.8% ROI).
- 39-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -22 Units / -17.99% ROI
- 59-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 1.41% ROI
- 52-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -9.49% ROI
Todd Smyly: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 44% of the time (1,085/2,447) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 48% of the time (319/665) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 99th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 56% of the time (228/408) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total CB; League Avg: 19% — 99th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 47% of the time (420/891) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Cory Abbott: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 15% (4/26) against Cory Abbott this month (3 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (11/41) against Cory Abbott this month (3 games) — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.
Cory Abbott has allowed an OPS of 1.113 (39 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (3 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .703 — third Percentile.
Cory Abbott has walked 10 of 63 batters (16%) this month (3 games) — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.