Over the course of a six-month, 162-game Major League Baseball schedule, a lot of extreme statistical performances can arise for each team. Whether it be the number of runs they score in a given game, the hits or home runs they produce or the extremes that their pitching staffs can generate, these oddities just happen, and of course, for some teams more than others. Do these rare happenings have any carryover effect for the follow-up game? That’s something I sought to figure out as I analyzed extreme betting systems in MLB.
Take a look at these seven betting concepts I was able to uncover after analyzing my MLB database over the last five seasons or so, specifically from the beginning of the 2018 season through Aug. 10 of this year.
1. Home teams off blowout losses are solid bets to rebound against that same opponent
Teams playing at home against the same team after a blowout loss of seven runs or more have been solid wagers over the last four-plus seasons, going 250-218 (53.4%) for + 45.66 units of profit. This represents a return on investment of 9.7%. In football, it’s called any given Sunday. In baseball, it could be termed any given day. One blowout loss hasn’t amounted to a whole lot for home teams as they are typically able to rebound, outscoring the opponents 4.64-4.49 on average in this “revenge” spot.
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