Using Vegas totals and spreads from each NFL game on SuperBook Colorado, we can estimate the final score to project the number of points for and against each team. Then, we can use the Pythagorean expectation to calculate the number of wins Vegas estimates each team to have. Unless specifically mentioned, we’ve assumed the home team is the favorite, and the away team is the underdog in any pick ’em.
- Top NFL Futures Odds & Picks Using Points For/Points Against: AFC West
- Top NFL Futures Odds & Picks Using Points For/Points Against: AFC North
- Top NFL Futures Odds & Picks Using Points For/Points Against: AFC South
- Top NFL Futures Odds & Picks Using Points For/Points Against: AFC East
- Top NFL Futures Odds & Picks Using Points For/Points Against: NFC South
- Top NFL Futures Odds & Picks Using Points For/Points Against: NFC East
- Top NFL Futures Odds & Picks Using Points For/Points Against NFC North
Check out our NFL Futures Betting Guide >>
| Team | Expected Points For | Expected Points Allowed | Pythagorean Win Total | Vegas Win Total |
| Los Angeles Rams | 448 | 392 | 9.8 | 10.5 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 415 | 362 | 9.9 | 10.0 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 418.75 | 418.25 | 8.5 | 8.5 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 341.5 | 415.5 | 6.6 | 5.5 |
Los Angeles Rams
- The reigning Super Bowl champs are likely still a top 5 team in the league. Their Pythagorean Win total puts them just outside the top 5, sitting behind the Bills, Buccaneers, Packers, Chiefs, and the 49ers. More on the 9ers in a second.
- Los Angeles is still expected to be elite at scoring points. The team put up 460 points in 2021 and is now projected to score 448, which is top 5. As long as the Matthew Stafford/Cooper Kupp connection is alive and well in 2022, there’s no reason this unit can’t score among the top 5 in the league.
- Projections have the Rams being average on defense in 2022, much like they were in 2021. The team allowed the 18th most points and is now expected to allow the 15th most.