We’re down to the NFL’s final four, and it’s not hyperbole to suggest that this might be the most unpredictable final four in league history.
Per Bet Labs, we’ve had only 11 Conference Championship Games since 2003 with a spread of three points or less. Only three times did it happen in both games the same year, and five of those six games featured a favorite of three points:
- 2021: Chiefs -3 defeat Bills, Bucs +3 defeat Packers
- 2019: Patriots +3 defeat Chiefs, Rams +3 defeat Saints
- 2016: Broncos +2.5 defeat Patriots, Panthers -3 defeat Cardinals
It doesn’t look like we’ll have a field goal favorite in game this week, and we might even end up with a combined spread at three or less. That makes for a very unpredictable Championship Sunday, and it means the Super Bowl odds are nearly even odds for all four teams with just three games left.