The Philadelphia Phillies (-185) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+150) on Tuesday, August 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Phillies vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 64-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 54-60 ATS.
Phillies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Reds vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Albert Almora Jr. | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Aristides Aquino | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
Donovan Solano | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Jake Fraley | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Joey Votto | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
Reds vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Albert Almora Jr. | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Aristides Aquino | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
Donovan Solano | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
Jake Fraley | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Joey Votto | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Reds vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Albert Almora Jr. | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
Aristides Aquino | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Donovan Solano | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Jake Fraley | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Joey Votto | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -165 |
Reds vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
T.J. Zeuch | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -155 |
Kyle Gibson | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 60-55 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 2.97% ROI).
- 64-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 3.5% ROI
- 55-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -3.35% ROI
- 54-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.2 Units / -4.9% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 54-60 against the Run Line (-11.7 Units / -8.3% ROI).
- 45-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.9 Units / -9.75% ROI
- 57-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -3.37% ROI
- 55-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -6.35% ROI
Kyle Gibson: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 59% when ahead in the count (seventh lowest)– 12th Percentile and 74% when behind in the count this season (tied for fourth highest among qualified SPs)– 94th Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (293/505) this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — eighth Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has located his fastball up for a strike just 49% (303/616) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 33% (206/616) against Kyle Gibson on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 49% — second Percentile.
Timothy James Zeuch: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
T.J. Zeuch has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to April 9th, 2021 — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 9.