And then there were 4. The NFC Championship game is the first of the two matchups this Sunday with the San Francisco 49ers traveling to Philadelphia to take on Jalen Hurts and the Eagles (-2.5). These were easily the best two teams in the NFC this year and it was a matchup that we did not get in the regular season. The 49ers are back in the NFCCG after losing last season to the LA Rams while the Eagles have been the best team in the NFL all season. The premier matchup of this game will be the Eagles offensive line against the 49ers defensive line; whoever gets the better of this matchup will likely dictate the winner of the game.
Jalen Hurts over 45.5 rushing yards (-115)
Line available on PointsBet at the time of publishing.
This line is below Hurts season average of 49.6 y/g and below his average over the L10 (58.5). Hurts did not need to run much in the last two games (both against the Giants) as last week was complete domination by the Eagles and the week prior had very little meaning in the outcome. Prior to that, Hurts hit this line in 7/14 games. Last season vs the 49ers, the Eagles lost 17-11, but Hurts got it done on the ground. He finished that game with 10 rushes for 82 yards. On a matchup perspective, the Eagles running backs will struggle to pick up chunk plays against this 49er's front 7 and using Hurts legs on passing downs I believe is the secret to Philly winning the game.' While only 1 QB has hit this line against the 49ers all season, we have seen some have success. Jarrett Stidham averaged 4.8 YPC, Geno Smith averaged 7 YPC, Dak Prescott most recently had 5.5 YPC. The difference between Hurts and those QBs are that Hurts will see volume to his rush attempts (already at 10.5) . This line is 48.5 everywhere else and I believe will reach 50.5 by kickoff. I'm jumping on this early before the public runs this number up to an un-touchable amount. 1U