The Houston Astros (-125) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+105) on Tuesday, August 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Astros vs White Sox Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 75-42 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 52-64 ATS.
Astros vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Astros vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 63.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on White Sox vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 61% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+8.65 Units / 36% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 50 of his last 73 games (+24.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 54 of his last 75 games (+20.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 44 of his last 58 games at home (+16.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+15.20 Units / 89% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 67 of their last 104 games (+23.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 68 of their last 115 games (+20.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 61 games (+11.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 98 games (+10.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 101 games (+10.70 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 64 of their last 116 games (+16.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in their last 6 games at home (+6.85 Units / 105% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 49 games (+6.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.40 Units / 40% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 61-56 against the Run Line (+6.5 Units / 4.77% ROI).
- 75-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 3.09% ROI
- 44-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.4 Units / -23.78% ROI
- 69-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.4 Units / 15.7% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 52-64 against the Run Line (-12.5 Units / -9.07% ROI).
- 60-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -6.24% ROI
- 52-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -6.57% ROI
- 56-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -0.55% ROI
Justin Verlander: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .147 (37-for-251) against Justin Verlander on the road this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has a strike rate of 72% (454/630) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .144 (18 Total Bases / 125 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .246 (268 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 94th Percentile.
Dylan Cease: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (98/228) against Dylan Cease with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (72/176) against Dylan Cease on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (381/1,054) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 40% (217/549) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.