The Detroit Tigers (+180) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-225) on Tuesday, August 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Tigers vs Guardians Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 44-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 62-54 ATS.
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 57.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+11.15 Units / 81% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 away games (+9.10 Units / 69% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+13.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+12.50 Units / 59% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+12.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 36 games (+11.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.80 Units / 26% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 65 of their last 115 games (+22.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 36 away games (+6.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 97 games (+15.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 76 games (+12.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 97 games (+8.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+7.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+5.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 52-66 against the Run Line (-23.55 Units / -15.93% ROI).
- 44-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.7 Units / -12.6% ROI
- 41-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.85 Units / -23.78% ROI
- 66-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.4 Units / 16.4% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 62-54 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 1.97% ROI).
- 62-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.3 Units / 7.24% ROI
- 54-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -4.26% ROI
- 54-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.25 Units / -4.11% ROI
Garrett Hill: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Hill has struck out just 8% (2/25) of right-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 21% — seventh Percentile.
Garrett Hill has walked 5 of 24 left-handed batters (21%) this month (2 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.
Garrett Hill has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to July 31st — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 9.
Garrett Hill has a strike rate of just 59% (108/182) this month (2 games) — tied for 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 65% — eighth Percentile.
Zach Plesac: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Plesac has allowed an OBP of .437 (87 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — first Percentile.
Zach Plesac has located his pitches away 61% of the time (301/496) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .368 (28-for-76) against Zach Plesac with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .232 (13-for-56) against Zach Plesac on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 98th Percentile.