The last game of the Divisional Round is reserved for the best matchup: Dallas Cowboys (+4) vs San Francisco 49ers. This game features the two best defenses remaining in the playoffs and in turn, the lowest total of the weekend (46.5). Brock Purdy is on a magical run to end his rookie season and has Kyle Shanahan fully believing in his capabilities. Dak Prescott is coming off a road playoff victory against the GOAT himself (Brady), where did not turn the ball over once. I believe the favorites win in all 3 prior games this weekend. And then there is this one. The public is on Dallas and for many reasons. They were the last game of WC weekend, so the win is fresh in their minds. They are an underdog this week and the public loves dogs. Lastly, they are “America's team”. The line opened at SF -3.5 and has settled at SF-4, still over that magical 3 number we all covet. I have ONE upset this weekend and it's the Cowboys over the 49ers.
Brock Purdy under 239.5 passing yards (-120)
Line available at BetMGM at the time of publishing.
This is repeat of last week, but against a much different defense. Purdy has greatly exceeded expectations since starting in Week 14. He's looked anywhere from efficient to elite against the likes of Seattle x2, Arizona, Las Vegas, Washington, and Tampa Bay. He's hit this number twice in the last 7 games, with the only overs coming against two teams ranked in the bottom 16 in Opp passing yards per game (LV / SEA). Last week, Purdy through for a career high 332 yards, but what is most telling is that 55% of those yards came on yards after catch and 22% came on one catch and run from Deebo Samuel. The Cowboys rank 8th overall in opp passing yards per game and is graded as the 8th best tackling team in the NFL according to PFF. Shanahan is a genius, but luckily Dallas DC Dan Quinn is very familiar with his approach to games and scheming players open to make Purdy comfortable. This number is Purdy's highest total of the season against his best opponen t to date. 1U.