The Philadelphia Phillies (-185) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+150) on Monday, August 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Phillies vs Reds Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 63-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 53-60 ATS.
Phillies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s matchup with 59.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 47 away games (+13.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 29 games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+11.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.35 Units / 70% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 26 away games (+11.25 Units / 34% ROI)
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+10.10 Units / 100% ROI)
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+9.50 Units / 83% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+7.80 Units / 29% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 64 games (+17.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 63 games (+12.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 62 of their last 109 games (+12.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.85 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 85 games (+13.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 36 games (+9.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 87 games (+6.20 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 46 of their last 87 games (+4.55 Units / 5% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 60-54 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 3.82% ROI).
- 63-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 2.9% ROI
- 55-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -2.47% ROI
- 53-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -5.74% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 53-60 against the Run Line (-12.7 Units / -9.08% ROI).
- 45-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -9% ROI
- 57-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -2.48% ROI
- 54-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.95 Units / -7.21% ROI
Noah Syndergaard: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 22 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has allowed 27 stolen bases this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 5 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .065 (2 GB hits out of 31 GBs) against Noah Syndergaard with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .223 — 98th Percentile.
Michael Minor: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (39/145) against Mike Minor this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Mike Minor has allowed an OPS of 1.024 (212 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .711 — 0 Percentile.
Mike Minor has allowed a slugging percentage of .564 (141 Total Bases / 250 ABs) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .396 — first Percentile.
26 of Mike Minor’s 81 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.