The New York Yankees (-135) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+110) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in Boston.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Yankees vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 72-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 58-57 ATS.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s matchup with 67.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 42 away games (+11.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+11.45 Units / 79% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 41 away games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+13.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Christian Arroyo has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in his last 10 games (+11.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 47 games (+11.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 43% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+9.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 104 games (+7.25 Units / 4% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 60 games (+5.35 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 95 games (+5.75 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 86 games (+5.00 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 81 games (+3.20 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 86 games (+2.90 Units / 3% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 52-62 against the Run Line (-11.8 Units / -8.9% ROI).
- 72-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 1.84% ROI
- 55-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -3.77% ROI
- 54-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -5.1% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 58-57 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 0.46% ROI).
- 56-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.5 Units / -6.68% ROI
- 51-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.75 Units / -6.91% ROI
- 55-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -0.43% ROI
Jameson Taillon: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has walked 8 of 273 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 7 of 48 batters (15%) — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 24 of 499 batters (5%) this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 89th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .442 (23-for-52) against Jameson Taillon on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — sixth Percentile.
Michael Wacha: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of 40% (321/813) against Michael Wacha on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 49% (1,026/2,072) against Michael Wacha in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (108/350) against Michael Wacha since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .157 (11-for-70) against Michael Wacha on inside fastballs this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 96th Percentile.