The Dallas Cowboys (12-5) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-9) on Monday, Jan. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Tampa for this NFC Wild Card game.
The Cowboys are betting favorites in this NFC Wild Card game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Cowboys vs. Buccaneers Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
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Cowboys vs. Buccaneers Prediction for NFC Wild Card game
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this NFC Wild Card game with 64.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread in this NFC Wild Card game with 59.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cowboys and Buccaneers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for this NFC Wild Card game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dak Prescott has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.60 Units / 77% ROI)
- Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Noah Brown has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Tony Pollard has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.80 Units / 58% ROI)
Best Buccaneers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for this NFC Wild Card game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tom Brady has hit the Completions Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Tom Brady has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Chris Godwin has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- Tom Brady has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Rachaad White has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
Cowboys Best Bets for NFC Wild Card game:
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.30 Units / 33% ROI)
Buccaneers Best Bets for NFC Wild Card game:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+10.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys have gone 10-7 (+2.3 Units / 12.37% ROI).
- Cowboys are 12-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 8.5% ROI
- Cowboys are 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
- Cowboys are 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.9 Units / ROI
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers have gone 4-12 (-9.4 Units / -49.74% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.9 Units / -31.27% ROI
- Buccaneers are 6-11 when betting the Over for -6.1 Units / -32.62% ROI
- Buccaneers are 11-6 when betting the Under for +4.4 Units / 23.53% ROI
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Cowboys are 6-1 (.857) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — sixth-best in NFL. The Buccaneers has allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 22 s this season — second-highest in NFL.
The Cowboys are 7-1 (.875) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Cowboys are winless (0-1) when rushing at least 4 yards less than 5 times in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .352.
The Cowboys are 9-1 (.900) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .444.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Buccaneers are 5-2 (.714) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Buccaneers are undefeated (8-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .643.