The Los Angeles Chargers (10-7) visit TIAA Bank Field to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8) on Saturday, Jan. 14. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Jacksonville for the AFC Wild Card playoff game.
The Chargers are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).
The Chargers vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.
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Chargers vs. Jaguars Prediction for AFC Wild Card game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this AFC Wild Card game with 51.7% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread in this AFC Wild Card game: with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Chargers and Jaguars, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for the AFC Wild Card game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 72% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Completions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for the AFC Wild Card game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Travis Etienne has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+5.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Evan Engram has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+4.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.35 Units / 23% ROI)
Chargers Best Bets for AFC Wild Card game:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.35 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.95 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+9.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have scored last in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 60% ROI)
Jaguars Best Bets for AFC Wild Card game:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+8.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.25 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 2H Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 30% ROI)
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers have gone 11-5 (+5.5 Units / 29.65% ROI).
- Chargers are 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 2% ROI
- Chargers are 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / -20.86% ROI
- Chargers are 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / ROI
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars have gone 8-9 (-1.9 Units / -10.22% ROI).
- Jaguars are 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 8.15% ROI
- Jaguars are 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.95 Units / -10.4% ROI
- Jaguars are 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Chargers are 5-1 (.833) vs bottom 10 run offenses this season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .541.
The Chargers are 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays this season — 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .591.
The Chargers are 1-4 (.200) when allowing 250 or more passing yards this season — 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Chargers are undefeated (3-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .549.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Jaguars are 4-5 (.444) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .763.
The Jaguars are 7-5 (.583) when underdogs this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .339.