We have reached the final weekend of the 2022 NFL regular season. This is bittersweet. I've enjoyed my first year at Pickswise despite a season filled with ups and downs. After a down week, I'm expecting a big bounce back on my part. Week 18 is an interesting one. There are few games with actual meaning and much of the playoff seeding is interconnected to other games results. Contract incentives play a role, as players look to hit milestones that will help them increase their wages for the season. Other teams are sitting some of their starters, which opens the door for backups to secure their spot on the roster heading into the offseason. I will be as selective as possible in my picks this week with all the factors being taken into consideration. Let's end the regular season on a high note!
Tyler Higbee (LAR) over 32.5 receiving yards (-115)
This could be my favorite play of the entire Sunday slate. The LA Rams get to play spoiler to division rival Seattle Seahawks and help out old QB Jared Goff in the process. For Higbee, he's seen his workload greatly increase since Baker has taken over in Week 14. The 7th year TE hasn't played less than 89% of the snaps since Baker's arrival and has led the team in targets over the last 3 weeks (20). The Seahawks pose an interesting matchup for Higbee. They allow the 3rd most targets per game and most yards per game to opposing TEs. With Higbee never leaving the field and being Baker's number one target of late, this line is extremely generous someone who should see 6-7 targets on Sunday. Did I mention Higbee needs 13 yards for a $500K contract bonus? Yup, add it to the list. 1.5U