The second game of the Saturday slate is mini-playoff game in itself. The winner takes the AFC South title and advances to the playoffs as the 7-9 Tennessee Titans are heading to Jacksonville to take on the 8-8 Jaguars (-6.5). The Titans will be starting Joshua Dobbs at QB this week and you can expect a heavy dose of Derrick Henry if Tennessee wants to pull off the upset. Jacksonville has several players with contract incentives that may impact our player props for the matchup, but let's look at the best plays for Saturday night's game.
Christian Kirk (JAX) over 59.5 receiving yards (-115)
This one is a play based on contract incentives, but it helps when you play the 28th-ranked pass defense. Kirk has hit this mark in 9/15 games and needs 91 yards to hit 1,100 on the season and earn a $500K contract incentive. The first-year Jaguar was quiet in his Week 14 matchup against the Titans, finishing with 7 targets, 5 receptions and 45 yards. The two big performers in that game were TE Evan Engram and WR Zay Jones. Kirk has been the most reliable of the 3, and I believe will shine in this second go around. Tennessee will have healthier Denico Autry and Jeffrey Simmons to get pressure on Trevor Lawrence and force him to make quicker decisions.