The Philadelphia Phillies (+165) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-200) on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Phillies vs Mets Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 63-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 63-50 ATS.
Phillies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 45 away games (+16.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 29 games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+11.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 43 away games (+10.60 Units / 22% ROI)
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 37 games at home (+13.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+12.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+11.95 Units / 31% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 62 games (+19.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 61 games (+13.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 61 of their last 107 games (+12.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.20 Units / 38% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 51 games at home (+23.77 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 113 games (+19.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 113 games (+15.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 51 games at home (+13.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 75 games (+9.95 Units / 12% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 59-53 against the Run Line (+6.1 Units / 4.5% ROI).
- 63-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 4.23% ROI
- 55-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -0.65% ROI
- 51-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.2 Units / -7.46% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 63-50 against the Run Line (+15.7 Units / 11.44% ROI).
- 73-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.3 Units / 11.18% ROI
- 58-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 4% ROI
- 48-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.3 Units / -12.36% ROI
Aaron Nola: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .121 (7-for-58) against Aaron Nola on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .265 — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola’s K:BB ratio is 7.8 (157/20) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.4 — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has a strike rate of 70% (749/1,067) against right-handed batters this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has walked 3 of 99 batters (3%) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 50% (18 SO in 36 PAs) this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has allowed an OBP of just .194 (628 PA’s) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: .304 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 42% (576/1,379) against Jacob deGrom since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 46% (38/82) against Jacob deGrom this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.